METHODOLOGY

Built to be tested
Not just backtested

Curious Pro uses a structured research framework to develop, challenge and validate systematic models before they reach a dashboard

RESEARCH FRAMEWORKFrom broad research
to a validated model
Controlled process
01RESEARCH

Explore a broad field

Different ideas and candidate paths are compared before a final model is selected

Multiple candidates

Evidence compared

Strong paths survive

02FREEZE

Lock the candidate

The selected model enters validation with its production rules fixed

Rules frozenNo further tuning
03VALIDATE

Challenge the result

The frozen model is tested for weaknesses before it can reach production

RobustnessDependencyReconciliation

BROAD BEFORE SELECTIVE

Start wide
Narrow only when the evidence allows it

The research process is designed to avoid choosing a favourite too early. Different ideas are first allowed to prove what they can and cannot contribute.

01

Explore broadly

Different market behaviours and relationships are examined without choosing an early winner.

02

Map the evidence

Candidates are compared on more than return, including risk, activity, stability and robustness.

03

Select carefully

Only after the broad research is complete does the field become smaller.

04

Combine what survived

Strong independent building blocks can then be tested together.

FREEZE BEFORE VALIDATION

Validation starts when optimisation stops

Once a final candidate enters validation, its rules are frozen

The purpose of validation is to find weaknesses, not to improve the backtest

HOW THE MODEL IS CHALLENGED

Validation is designed to challenge the result

A strong historical result is only the starting point. The frozen model is then tested from several different directions.

01

Integrity

Is the timeline correct, is the data causal and can the historical record be trusted?

02

Reconciliation

Does the production implementation reproduce the researched model?

03

Robustness

Does the model still behave reasonably when nearby assumptions or execution conditions change?

04

Dependency

Is the result spread across time and trades, or dependent on a few exceptional events?

05

Time

Does the model remain viable across different starting points, rolling periods and market regimes?

THE INDEPENDENT ENGINE

An independent engine makes the research reproducible

Curious Pro uses an independent research and model engine so data, model logic and historical results can be reproduced and checked outside a single charting environment

  • Controlled and confirmed data
  • Independent model calculation
  • Reconciliation with the production implementation

WHAT THE FRAMEWORK DELIBERATELY AVOIDS

Discipline also means
knowing what not to do

No early winner

Strong ideas are not discarded simply because another candidate initially looks better.

No single score decides

Return alone is never enough. Risk, stability, activity and robustness also matter.

No forced complexity

If an extra layer adds no credible value, it does not have to be added.

No tuning during validation

A failed final test is evidence, not an invitation to adjust the model.

EXPLORE FURTHER

From the framework to the dashboards