BEHIND THE MODELS

What the models
actually do

A simple way to understand the logic behind the dashboards

Each market has its own systematic model. Every day, that model evaluates the latest confirmed data and translates the result into a clear condition and exposure level

DAILY MODEL VIEWFrom market data to model output
Confirmed daily close
CONFIRMED MARKET DATALatest daily information
Price history
Market structure
Macro conditions
Model-specific inputs
MODEL EVALUATIONIndependent for each market
INDEPENDENT MARKET MODELFixed production rulesApplied consistently after each confirmed daily close

Rules evaluated

Current conditions assessed

Exposure determined

MODEL CONDITIONRisk On
EXPOSURE75%
CONFIRMEDDaily close

HOW TO READ A MODEL

From market data to a clear model condition

The dashboard shows the result of a simple daily sequence. The complexity stays behind the model rather than in front of the user

01
CONFIRMED DATA

Daily market data

The latest confirmed daily data enters the model

02
MODEL EVALUATION

Fixed production rules

The model applies the rules developed for that individual market

03
CLEAR OUTPUT

Condition and exposure

The dashboard shows the resulting model condition and exposure level

ONE MARKET, ONE MODEL

Different markets deserve
different models

Gold does not behave like copper
Bitcoin does not behave like either of them

That is why Curious Pro does not force one universal model across very different markets. Each market is researched and evaluated on its own

METALSCurious Metals Pro
GoldSilverCopperPlatinumPalladiumAluminium
CRYPTOPlanned

Major crypto markets will follow the same principle: independent research and a dedicated model for each market

WHAT THE MODELS ARE — AND ARE NOT

What they are

  • Long-only models
  • No leverage
  • Based on confirmed daily close data
  • Developed independently for each market
  • Run through a controlled and monitored process
  • Expressed through Risk On, Risk Off and exposure levels

What they are not

  • Predictions of the next market move
  • Guarantees of profit
  • Protection against every drawdown
  • Instructions to buy, sell or short
  • Prescribed portfolio allocations
  • Systems designed to catch every recovery

RESEARCH & VALIDATION

How are the models researched and validated?

Behind the Models explains what the models do. Methodology goes deeper into how they are researched, selected, tested and validated before reaching production

View Methodology